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Category: Formulas

08/19/11

Advanced statistics and the democracy of talent By Danny Nowell ~ Friday eBA Press Clip

Friday Press Clippings:
Advanced statistics and the democracy of talent

Basketball Statistician's Friday Press Clippings
From Magic Basketball
By Danny Nowell
Download source here: ' Advanced statistics and the democracy of talent ' By Danny Nowell

"... Where am I going with this? I’ve been thinking a lot about advanced statistics recently in the wake of the 2011 MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference, which I was not fortunate enough to attend but which the TrueHoop Network covered extensively.

The Sloan Conference is the zenith of the advanced statistical approach to sports today, and it draws some of the smartest people covering or fielding sports teams in the world. ..."

"... For several years now, I’ve been a devotee–if a lackadaisical one–of this sort of sports analytics. I didn’t do so hot in Calculus in high school, but I do care a lot more about efficiency than pure scoring, and I believe in things like Pythagorean record as mathematical ways to ascertain the quality of a team considered apart from the quirks of day-to-day game developments. ..."

"... Like I’ve said, I love the analytical and statistical approach to think about basketball. But I am made a little uneasy by the widening gap between the practice and the analysis of the game. Let me put this dangerously, in a way that could easily be taken out of context (I hope I never write those words on the internet ever again):

I wonder if hedge fund managers and sabermetricians can even help but obscuring the spirit of basketball in their attempts to quantify the product. ..."

"... The assumption at the heart of advanced statistics is that it is best to look many times at a basketball game to ascertain how to best succeed at the goal of outscoring your opponent.

To find who is most efficiently either scoring or denying points, to recognize skills that are harder to see before the gunsmoke clears, like Chuck Hayes’ incredible post defense.

To me, this is a business approach to basketball, and it is not wrong. ..."

"... Here’s my fear: People like me are drawn to advanced analysis, in some small part, because it compartmentalizes the game into something I can have a hand in, can process.

I will never wake up as enormous and gifted as an NBA star, but I can diligently apply the full scope of my MacBook to figure out how to “maximize” their gifts. ..."

"... Because in the end, the best basketball is about watching as much as it is about winning. It’s a celebration of rare genius just as much as it is about the bottom line of scores and efficiencies.

By all means, then, let’s use the tools we have to think about it better, to question our appreciations and sharpen our tastes, but without letting it crowd our appreciation of even the flawed moments. ..."

Read more articles in Magic Basketball.

To read today's 'Press Clippings' in Spanish,
click this week above on the 'Español' tab or afterwards click here:
' Proponen una nueva técnica para valorar a los jugadores de baloncesto '
by SINC
.



Friday Video Clippings:
Rick Pitino vs. Carlos Beltran



Rick Pitino vs. Carlos Beltran


To watch today's 'Video Clippings' in Spanish,
click this week above on the 'Español' tab or afterwards click here:
' Visión de Futuro '.


'Press and Video Clippings'
is a Series of Notes edited the 2nd. and 4th. Friday of Every Month

To Read ALL the Clippings in this Series, click here: Categories > Contents Online


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04/03/11

Permalink 17:04:59, Categories: Basketball, Statistics, Statisticians & Roles, Formulas  

Sunday's Reflexions on Basketball Statistics:
Rebounding Percentage, Standard Deviation and Adjusted Points per Game

Basketball Statistician's Sunday's ReflexionsThis Sunday's Reflections includes short answers to important short questions about the eBA Basketball Statistics Analysis System.

"... How can I evaluate my team's quality at rebounding opportunities ?..."

Here you have the formula for a team's rebounding percentage:

Off%= (Own OR) / (Own OR + Opponent's DR)

Def%= (Own DR) / (Own DR + Opponent's OR)

Tot%= (Own Total Rebs) / (Own Total Rebs + Opponent's Total Rebs)

For the applicability and discussion of the formula, go to the eBA Basketball Statistics Analysis System.

Basketball Statistician Sunday's Digest


"... How might the standard deviation of a normal distribution as a player season statistics be greater than the mean ? ..."

If some scores are negative, the mean could be very small despite a large SD.
The mean could be anything, even negative. Standard deviation is always positive.

"... What is really the "Adjppg" ( Adjusted Points Per Game ) ? ..."

Adjusted points per game (Adjppg) is just points per possession times the league average of possessions per team per game. This scales its yearly average to be as the league average for PPG -Points per Basketball Game.
This method applies in a straightforward manner to teams. It has never been applied to individuals.

For a deep analysis go to eBA Basketball Statistics Analysis System.
Prof. Roberto Azar

This topic is resumed in the eBA Basketball Statistics Analysis System
at the eBA System > The Articles


'Reflexions on Basketball Statistics'
is a Series of Notes edited every Sunday

To read ALL the basketball Statistics Reflexions, click here:Statisticians & Roles


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10/19/10

Basketball Registering Stats Referred Questions:
Practice Descriptive Statistics

Basketball Registering Stats Referred Questions
Question: Two players on the same drill show the following results over a long period of time.

Player A= Mean time of completing the drill (seconds) - 30
...............Standard deviation (seconds) - 6

Player B= Mean time of completing the drill (seconds) - 25
.............................................Standard deviation (seconds) - 4

...............a. Which player appears to be more consistent in the time he
...................requires to complete the drill?

...............b. Which player appears to be faster in completing the drill?

Practice Descriptive Statistics Questions
Photograph: Live.com

Answer:
a. Player B appears to be more consistent in the time he requires to complete the
....drill, since he has a smaller variance.

b. Player B appears to be faster in completing the drill, since he has a smaller mean.

See in our forum the 'descriptive statistics' topics and the exposition "Basketball Statistical Analysis" at eBA ONLINE.

All the terms in this answer are explained widely at The Global Basketball Encyclopedia and in eBA ONLINE.

( 'Basketball Registering Stats Referred Questions'
is a Series of Notes edited every Tuesday )

This topic is resumed in the eBA Basketball Statistics Analysis System
at the eBA Encyclopedia > eBA System


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09/23/10

Permalink 10:18:38, Categories: Basketball, Statistics, Statisticians & Roles, Formulas  

Basketball Statistics Analysis Referred Concepts:
The Points Saved Concept and Formula

Basketball Statistics Analysis Referred Concepts
Points Saved is a stat introduced by John Hollinger ( an influential figure in the field the quantitative analysis of
basketball ) to measure individual defense and here is his description form his book Pro Basketball Forecast (Pro Basketball Prospectus):

"The idea is to take the minutes a player played in each game, multiply it by the team's points allowed in that game, and compare it to how many points the team actually gave up with the player on the court. From that, we determine his defensive value by the difference between "expected points" and the actual points -- something I call "points saved".

The formula is as follows:

Points Saved = ((MIN/tmMIN) * oppPTS) - oncourtoppPTS
Pro Basketball Forecast

where oppPTS is the opponents points scored in games in which the player played, and oncourtoppPTS is the opponents points scored while the player was on the court.

As an extension, Hollinger also developed a simpler formula that quantifies how impressive a player's individual performance is in a given game.

The Hollinger Game Score formula is:

(Points x 1.0) + (FGM x 0.4) + (FGA x -0.7) + ((FTA-FTM) x -0.4) + (OREB x 0.7) + (DREB x 0.3) + (STL x 1.0) + (AST x 0.7) + (BLK x 0.7) + (PF x -0.4) + (TO x -1.0)

The entire modern box score of the player is needed for calculation, including offensive and defensive rebounding, steals, blocks and turnovers.

I leave my commentaries about these formulas in the eBA Forums.

Excerpts of a discussion at the eBA Annual Basketball Statistics Clinic

Read More at eBA CLINICS ONLINE, search "points saved" in this blog and consult the eBA Basketball Statistics Analysis System.

( 'Basketball Registering Stats Referred Concepts'
is a Series of Notes edited every Thursday )

This topic is resumed in the eBA Basketball Statistics Analysis System
at the eBA Encyclopedia > eBA System.


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