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About the Basketball Possessions Concept & the Good and Bad Statistics
& the Basketball Training Video in our Reflexions on Basketball Statistics

01/07/18

About the Basketball Possessions Concept & the Good and Bad Statistics
& the Basketball Training Video in our Reflexions on Basketball Statistics

Weekly's Reflexions on Basketball Statistics:
About the Basketball Possessions Concept & the Good and Bad Statistics

Basketball Statistician's Sunday's Reflexions
When using possessions to rate offenses and defenses, an excellent exercise in getting to know basketball, the benefits of this definition become clear:

"Possession for a team, it is the period of play between when one team gains control of the ball and when the other team gains control of the ball. For an individual, a possession or part of a possession is credited when that individual causes to end his/her team's possession."

We'll analyze the following 2 situations:

1) A player brings the ball up court, takes a 20 foot jump shot and makes it.

2) A player brings the ball upcourt, takes a 20 foot jump shot and misses, but a teammate rebounds, misses the putback, then get his own rebound and finally puts in a layup.

The first situation involves one scoring possession and one total possession regardless of which definition is used.

The second situation has one scoring and one total possession using above definition. Using the other meaning, the second situation involves one scoring possession and three total possessions.

Now, which situation represented the better offense ?

Oscar Robertson is the only player to ever average a triple-double in a season. He had amazing numbers in the 1961-1962 season with 30.8 points, 11.4 assists and 12.5 rebounds. In this AP photograph by Hans Von Nolde from Grantland presented by #eBAStatsGroup #BasketballStatistics Analysis .

Photograph: Grantland


Oscar Robertson is the only player to ever average a triple-double in a season. He had amazing numbers in the 1961-1962 season with 30.8 points, 11.4 assists and 12.5 rebounds.
In this AP photograph by Hans Von Nolde from Grantland presented by #eBAStatsGroup #BasketballStatistics Analysis .


About Basketball Possessions and the Good & Bad Statistics:
David Berri, Martin Schmidt, and Stacey Brook, authors of The Wages of Wins, have come up with an algorithm for assessing the value of professional basketball players, using econometric methods to objectively valuate basketball statistics in terms of their impact on winning games.

The basic theory of the authors is that measurements of a player's efficiency are better tools for evaluating players than statistics like "points per game."

Since teams have an equal number of possessions in a basketball contest, the team that efficiently uses those possessions is more likely to win.

Turning the ball over without scoring is "bad," while converting a possession into points is "good."

The authors regressed nine statistics to find their relative impact on wins. Here's a simplification of their findings.

"Good" statistics: Each point, rebound, and steal have relatively equal impacts on winning. They are about twice as important as each block and assist. So, to quantify the positive statistics, here's a simple formula:

points + rebounds + steals + 1/2 (blocks) + 1/2 (assists)

"Bad" statistics: field goal attempts and turnovers have equally negative impacts on winning. They are twice as bad as free throw attempts and personal fouls. Here's a simple formula for the "bad" stats:

field goal attempts + 1/2 (free throw attempts) + turnovers + 1/2 (personal fouls)

Putting this all together we get what the authors call a "Win Score":

Points + Rebounds + Steals + 1/2 (blocks) + 1/2 (assists) - field goal attempts - 1/2 (free throw attempts) - turnovers - 1/2 (personal fouls)

Win Score proves to be an excellent method of comparing players who play the same position. But since power forwards and centers tend to have higher average Win Scores than guards, adjustments need to be made when comparing little men to big men.

By Professor

A selected excerpt from the discussions at the eBA Annual Analysis System Clinic Chat about this topic "Basketball Possessions".





Read More at eBA SYSTEM ONLINE, search "basketball possesions" in this blog and consult the eBA Basketball Statistics Creative Analysis System.

This topic is resumed in the eBA Basketball Statistics Analysis System.

Weekly Basketball Training Videos:
Russell Westbrook's Treadmill

From the eBA-Stats.com Best Basketball Training Videos:
We Don't Own this Video, the Owner of this video is NIKE
and this video is from NIKE SIGNATURE MOVES SERIES
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Russell Westbrook's Treadmill

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'Reflexions on Basketball Statistics'
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To read ALL the basketball Statistics Reflexions, click here:Statisticians & Roles




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Basketball Game Analyst
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Statistics Never Tell
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