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Sunday's Reflexions on Basketball Statistics:
Home & Road Stats ~ the friendly stats-man and the the two Halves
Why Jason Kidd averaged 9.3 assists at home and 7.3 on the road. It's why Ben Wallace averaged 3.0 blocks at home and 1.7 on the road. True, players generally perform better on their home floor, but friendly scorekeepers often inflate their home stats. How the eBA Basketball Statistics Creative Analysis controls this situation ?
Most observers of college basketball believe that home teams experience an advantage over away teams. This could be due to an intrinsic advantage for the home team, such as familiarity with the environment and crowd support. Alternately, it could result from an intrinsic disadvantage for the away team, such as the disrupting effect of travel on a team's schedule and routine.
Using a variety of methods, it is possible to express in units of points the home court advantage: during the 2003-2004 Division I men's season, it was registered for home teams a record of 2617-1294-246, meaning that home teams win about two-thirds of their games. For this analysis, the games with overtime(s) are referred as ties.
An about the difference between the two Halves of the season... players generally perform better on their home floor, but friendly scorekeepers often inflate their home stats. How the eBA Basketball Statistics Creative Analysis controls this situation ?
Home teams may be, typically, better than away teams. Looking at home-away games during the first half of the season, the game trends indicates home teams often outmatch away teams.
This indicates that in the first half of the season, home teams are in a general and inherent manner stronger than away teams, in a relation of 70-75% of winning percentage.
During the second half, this difference related to the home teams is matched and home and away teams winning percentage are equals to the same degree. This reality brings to the conclusion that winning percentage of home teams concurrently goes down during this time.
Why this difference between the two halves of the season ?
Selected excerpts from the discussions at the eBA Annual Analysis System Clinic Chat about this topic "home & road stats".
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tags: basketball ~ basketball statistics ~ basketball analysis ~ home & road stats
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