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Basketball Statistics Analysis Referred Concepts:
To Calculate the Basketball Expected Wins
Commentary: The probabilities could be estimated by using information on teams' performances in the previously played games.
By example, if in the first 2/3 total games played of the season, Team A's winning percentage was .582, we could use .582 as the probability of winning each game.
However, in the NBA there is a significant difference between winning percents for home games and for games on the road.
See "Home & Road Stats: friendly stats-man" Discussion at the eBA Forums.
Another reference to this calculation, the quality of the opponent would raise or lower that Winning Percentage probability.
What is the Pace Factor ?: Is an estimate of the number of possessions per 40 or 48 minutes by a team and its opponents.
What are the Offensive and Defensive Efficiency ?:
Offensive Efficiency is an estimate of the number of points scored per 100 possessions.
Defensive Efficiency is an estimate of the number of points allowed per 100 possessions.
The three formulas and the thematic is discussed in the eBA Forums in the topic Formulas & Comments.
Read More at eBA CLINICS ONLINE, search "expected wins" in this blog and consult the eBA Basketball Statistics Analysis System.
is a Series of Notes edited every Thursday )
This topic is resumed in the eBA Basketball Statistics Analysis System
at the eBA Encyclopedia > eBA System.
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tags: basketball ~ statistician's digest ~ basketball analysis ~ basketball expected wins
visit: eBA Portal ~ eBA Forums ~ eBA Encyclopedia ~ eBA Clinics
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Roberto E. Azar
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