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Statistician's Digest: How Much Turnovers Stats Actually Worth ?
07/29/10
Basketball Statistics Analysis Referred Concepts:
How Much Turnovers Stats Actually Worth ?
Looking at turnovers stats and how much they are actually worth. Points off turnovers are often strongly correlated with the number of turnovers by the opposition.
Go understand, the team that turns the ball over more will often lose.
Is it really the points off the turnovers, or is it the lost opportunities to score by the team that is making more mistakes ?
The Points Off Turnovers analysis conducts us to the "floor percentage", a method popularized by Dean Oliver in his book "Basketball on Paper", which measures offensive efficiency.
Photograph: The No-look Pass
Basically it's baskets and offensive rebounds as a ratio of attempted baskets plus turnovers (see the Discussions about Stats at the eBA Forums).
In other words, when there is a chance to turn the ball over (TOs and FGA), how often does your team profit from it? "Profit" in this two means: to make a basket or get another chance with a rebound.
Comparing sports, points off turnovers means a lot in football, but not so much in basketball because only half of all turnovers are steals which potentially lead to fast breaks the other way.
The other half give the ball to the other team out of bounds, which isn't always much of this POT advantage.
Read More at eBA CLINICS ONLINE, search "basketball turnovers" in this blog and consult the eBA Basketball Statistics Analysis System.
is a Series of Notes edited every Thursday )
This topic is resumed in the eBA Basketball Statistics Analysis System
at the eBA Encyclopedia > eBA System.
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tags: basketball ~ statistician's digest ~ basketball analysis ~ basketball turnovers
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