Basketball Statistics Blog

Basketball Statistician's Digest: What I’ve Learned Over the Past Year

From Basketball Geek By Ryan J. Parker
Download source here: ' What I’ve Learned Over the Past Year '

"... The rough outline of a theoretical model for the probability of winning a basketball game at the team, unit, and individual level gave me a lot to think about in terms of how a team comes together to score points. ..."

"... Adjusted plus/minus is something that took me a long time to fully wrap my head around. My naive points added contribution helped me figure it out.
My modeling skills have come a long way since then, but at that time working with things like grouped data and the like were not second nature to me, but now they are.
I think we can throw points added in the trash, but it was an important step in the direction of figuring out adjusted plus/minus. ..."

"... Basketball on Paper’s skill curves are an informative look at how a player’s efficiency relates to their role in the offense, and you too can create them yourself (even though the exact way Dean created the curves is still locked away in his vault). ..."

"... My post on referee efficiency ratings turned out to be one of the best learning experiences all year. Refs are always a touchy subject, and I didn’t provide evidence to make some of the statements I made. As one reader pointed out, referee stuff is “very hard to do right”.
He’s right, and the discussion that followed based on this post was very informative.
I feel that I’ve yet to acquire the tools needed to do a ref analysis real justice, so I’ve left it alone for now. ..."

"... While working on a presentation for an upcoming talk about sports rating, I realized that I’ve yet to really try to predict anything. When we talk about why one model might be better than another, one aspect has to do with predictive capabilities. ..."

Read more in Basketball Geek

To read Today's 'Press Clippings' in Spanish, click this week above on the 'Español' tab or afterwards click here: 'Baloncesto ~ Hora de Evolucionar' por Víctor (Vitito) Ojeda

You must be logged in to read or post a comment. Register

tags:  basketball  ~  statistician's digest   ~  basketball analysis  ~  Basketball Geek
visit:  eBA Portal  ~  eBA Forums  ~  eBA Encyclopedia  ~  eBA Clinics