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The (Tentative) Rethinking Basketball Rookie Ranking Framework

From Rethinking Basketball By Q McCall
Download source here: ' The (Tentative) Rethinking Basketball Rookie Ranking Framework '

"... Any successful team must have players that can create offense. A team of the five most efficient players in the game would have a tough time scoring because they rely on these high-usage types to create opportunities for them. ..."

"... but for a lot of players, the differences are more subtle and usage rate can help sort out the prospects from the suspects. For the most part, the ability to get your own shot (or get to the foul line) is either something you have or you don't. Usage rates certainly fluctuate from season to season but, generally speaking, usage rate tracks an innate skill. ..."

"... Just to elaborate and make the point more explicitly, a rookie’s ability to produce points might not be quite as important as the means by which the player creates those points. So even if we use points per game as our primary point of reference, paying attention to what the player actually does once they have the ball in their hands may be useful. In some ways it comes down to a matter of creativity – the ability to perceive multiple outcomes to a given situation and having the ability to bring one of them to fruition. ..."

"... Conceptually, Chaiken Efficiency Ratio is the ratio of points a player is individually responsible for to the possessions that a player is individually responsible for ending without points. It’s a proxy for scoring decision making – if a high usage player is able to create points more often than they waste a scoring opportunity, we can say they are making good scoring decisions. ..."

"... This idea essentially fits with a lot of the other ways I already use statistics for analyzing point guards and team dynamics. However, I’m going to deviate from Gomez and colleagues’ framework slightly and look at made free throw rate instead of free three percentage as a secondary proxy with which to analyze a player’s ability to make offensive moves that draw fouls. ..."

Read more in Rethinking Basketball

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